Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.369328 0.431455 0.501103 0.585028 0.683509 0.795519 0.932755
2024-12-22 0.271908 0.352790 0.453639 0.588920 0.766137 0.991083 1.299411
2024-12-29 0.223733 0.311756 0.429763 0.600146 0.840947 1.170750 1.659603
2025-01-05 0.184573 0.272395 0.397223 0.588525 0.876104 1.295194 1.957583
2025-01-12 0.157353 0.243990 0.373499 0.582480 0.913923 1.423752 2.276079
2025-01-19 0.138474 0.224403 0.358771 0.585859 0.963795 1.574171 2.647776
2025-01-26 0.128690 0.217221 0.361545 0.616155 1.059309 1.808278 3.189778
2025-02-02 0.119883 0.210104 0.362950 0.643521 1.152591 2.050102 3.780673
2025-02-09 0.110807 0.201079 0.359568 0.661454 1.230849 2.275147 4.374222
2025-02-16 0.101318 0.189921 0.350739 0.667830 1.288011 2.468392 4.935640
2025-02-23 0.091806 0.177396 0.337665 0.664096 1.324734 2.626822 5.450999
2025-03-02 0.081637 0.162277 0.317735 0.644129 1.326181 2.715308 5.834985
2025-03-09 0.077143 0.157950 0.318544 0.666625 1.418868 3.004750 6.699467
2025-03-16 0.071064 0.149659 0.310453 0.669720 1.471504 3.218650 7.435139
2025-03-23 0.066596 0.144118 0.307231 0.682574 1.546808 3.491600 8.349262
2025-03-30 0.060389 0.134037 0.293097 0.669306 1.561171 3.629460 8.964872
2025-04-06 0.055394 0.126006 0.282425 0.662404 1.589167 3.802429 9.694677
2025-04-13 0.051713 0.120497 0.276703 0.666261 1.643335 4.045279 10.642147
2025-04-20 0.050431 0.120413 0.283397 0.700854 1.778134 4.505732 12.239215
2025-04-27 0.048961 0.119687 0.288472 0.732106 1.908979 4.975388 13.943000
2025-05-04 0.046922 0.117315 0.289275 0.752589 2.014685 5.395054 15.580355
2025-05-11 0.044309 0.113186 0.285229 0.759872 2.086034 5.733044 17.041171
2025-05-18 0.041329 0.107762 0.277263 0.755606 2.124983 5.987478 18.298242